The End Of Software - Anibal's Blog

Long term planning is tricky. We have to worry about something in the future. But today, we have no direct worries. We are not ready to think beyond this paradox.

We can say almost nothing is going to change for most of us in the future ten years. But ...

According to a recent climatology meeting at Oxford University, they previewed a world 4ºC hotter in 100 years.

Countries are not adopting hard targets on carbon dioxide emissions. As there's no great scale change, averaged models are reaching 4°C by the 2090s. What that it means:

Most land areas rise by about four or five degrees Arctic shoots up by nearly 10°C Areas of high temperatures extend further south Rainfall lost in the tropics (primarily West Africa, Central America, and the Amazon) Rainfall rises by over 20 percent in the high latitudes People currently living in stressed watersheds would face a severe reduction in the amount of water they had access to 20 percent of the global population would see their flood risk drop significantly Increased temperate rainfall would increase the flood risk for about half the population 15 percent of current potential cropland vanishing, but that loss being offset by a 20 percent addition of potential agricultural land A water management infrastructure could both limit the risk of flooding and provide access to water for personal and agricultural use

So, don't worry for the future, live today. We'll adapt as the things come (there's nothing else to do).

Source: ArsTechnica, Current emissions may mean 4°C temperature hike before 2100

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