A 4ºC hotter world
Long term planning is tricky. We have to worry about something in the future. But today, we have no direct worries. We are not ready to think beyond this paradox.
We can say almost nothing is going to change for most of us in the future ten years. But ...
According to a recent climatology meeting at Oxford University, they previewed a world 4ºC hotter in 100 years.
Countries are not adopting hard targets on carbon dioxide emissions. As there's no great scale change, averaged models are reaching 4°C by the 2090s. What that it means:
Most land areas rise by about four or five degrees
Arctic shoots up by nearly 10°C
Areas of high temperatures extend further south
Rainfall lost in the tropics (primarily West Africa, Central America, and the Amazon)
Rainfall rises by over 20 percent in the high latitudes
People currently living in stressed watersheds would face a severe reduction in the amount of water they had access to
20 percent of the global population would see their flood risk d...
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